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Post by KNOWTHIS on Mar 25, 2006 23:12:01 GMT -5
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Post by KNOWTHIS on Mar 25, 2006 23:34:56 GMT -5
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Post by altitudelou on Mar 26, 2006 22:14:15 GMT -5
The cost of Global Warming in the short term. today.reuters.com/investing/financeArticle.aspx?type=bondsNews&storyID=2006-03-23T164037Z_01_N23299938_RTRIDST_0_FINANCIAL-HURRICANE-UPDATE-1-REPEAT.XML(Repeating for some subscribers) (Recasts, adds comments by Ceres and RMS, byline) By Ed Leefeldt NEW YORK, March 23 (Reuters) - Insured property losses from hurricanes in Florida and the Gulf Coast are likely to be 40 percent higher for at least the next five years, a leading consultant said on Thursday in one of the most forward-looking studies in the industry. Losses for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern United States will be 25 percent to 30 percent higher, according to Risk Management Solutions, a Newark, California-based group that predicts the severity of storms and their losses.
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Post by KNOWTHIS on Mar 26, 2006 22:53:26 GMT -5
That's an interesting dynamic to this whole debate. On one hand you've got large industries that benefit from the costs saved by not having to deal with pesky government enforced regulations. They of course use their great lobbying pressure to help keep it that way for themselves. Yet there's another huge, highly profitable industry with its own interests in mind and that's insurance companies. This believe it or not could be one of our only saving graces. These insurance companies are finding out that global warming and the increasingly harsh weather conditions attributed to it like unusually powerful hurricanes are causing a sharp increase in claims being filed. You’re now seeing a push towards emissions regulations from some previously unexpected places because of this. Their own internal studies and projections are showing them that these natural disasters are going to cost them exponentially more and more dough over the years to come. Some say that it will only take on last major calamity in say California to completely send our country which is already in trouble as it is “down the drain” financially. Some say California will quite literally be disappearing down the drain. Of course there’s also lawsuits being filed against insurance companies that don’t want to pay out as well. It's sad that major issues like these only begin to be looked at seriously when someone's money is concerned. As the article hints at. Thousands of scientists with hard facts seem to have little or no impact. Throw money in to the mix, then you see action. Or no action, depending on which side of the global warming fence you sit on. If you're the CEO of Exxon, you don't want to hear it. If you're Bush or Cheney....I think you know the story there. www.wsusignpost.com/vnews/display.v/ART/2006/03/20/441ee73662624Earth insurance: Industry isn’t ignoring climate changeNo matter how bad global warming gets, Omaha will stay high and dry. So why is Nebraska’s state insurance commissioner heading a national task force on the implications of climate change? Because the warming of the Earth’s surface is already causing havoc far from any ice cap or coastline. Insurance companies have seen a 15-fold increase in insured losses over the last 30 years from floods, tornadoes, severe hailstorms, droughts and brushfires, in addition to hurricanes. That’s what prompted the National Association of Insurance Commissioners — the state officials who regulate the insurance industry — to embark on a hard look at how well insurance companies are prepared to meet the growing challenge.They’re not alone. Some of the world’s heaviest of heavyweight investors, including the pension funds for California teachers and state employees, are demanding that the industries they invest in analyze how global warming will affect their value in coming years. The Investor Network on Climate Risk, whose two dozen members manage $3 trillion in assets, drew more than 200 participants, including a who’s who of Wall Street firms, to its 2005 summit.
All the scientists in the world, if they spoke with one voice, couldn’t generate that kind of clout.As the investment gurus are quick to say, from a financial standpoint, global warming creates both risks and opportunities. Somewhere, someone is probably already dreaming up a marketable security based on carbon credits. For most of us, though, the newfound interest in climate change on the part of institutional investors and insurance regulators is just one more sign — if we need any — that this issue won’t go away. Almost alone among Western nations, the Bush administration continues to hold out against calls for mandatory caps on carbon emissions. But it will find the demands harder to resist when those making them represent the kind of green that lines our pockets rather than the kind that grows under our feet. www.sunherald.com/mld/sunherald/14183691.htmA storm of lawsuits Banks, shippers, even oil companies under fireBusinesses are being hit with lawsuits related to Hurricane Katrina, and it's not just insurance companies that are defendants. Oil companies, mortgage brokers, a shipping firm and a debris removal contractor have all been sued in federal court. But one of the most interesting lawsuits sought to cover all the bases. Gerald Maples, a lawyer based in New Orleans, filed a class action suit against all the insurance companies offering homeowner policies in Mississippi, all the mortgage companies in the state and all the oil companies. The oil companies allegedly increased global warming and produced the conditions where "a storm of the strength and size of Hurricane Katrina would inevitably form and strike the Mississippi Gulf Coast," the complaint states.U.S. District Judge L.T. Senter Jr. dismissed the mortgage and insurance companies as defendants in a class action suit, saying the facts in each individual case would be too varied. However, they can be filed as individual suits. The oil companies can still be defendants in a class action suit, Senter ruled, but he wrote in an opinion that he foresaw "daunting evidentiary problems" for anyone who sought to prove the degree to which global warming is caused by the companies. Nevertheless, Maples said he plans to file an amended complaint early next week against those companies. "It will have a great deal more information and science as well as admissions by certain oil companies," Maples said. The lawsuit could break new legal ground. "The problem is that until now it's been very difficult to quantify the man-made connections to global warming," Maples said. "Now, there is abundant science to do it, and we have this incredible catastrophe that everybody agrees was caused in part by water temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico."Many more lawsuits are likely to be filed in the months ahead. Several of these lawsuits were filed in state court, then moved to federal court. The complaints give one side of a legal dispute. Regions Bank was sued by John and Angela Johns of Pike County for allegedly failing to pay their windstorm policy out of their escrow account. After filing a claim for damage that their home sustained during the hurricane, they learned that their policy had been canceled in February 2005 for non-payment. In February, U.S. District Judge William H. Barbour Jr. ordered that the couple submit their claims to arbitration. Landsafe Flood Determination Inc. was sued by J. David Lee and Holly G. Lee of Jackson County. The couple contends that Landsafe failed to correctly designate their residential property as lying in a special flood hazard area. Crowley Liner Services Inc. and Lloyd's of London are being sued by Royal Beach Hotel. The owner of the Gulfport hotel contends that Crowley breached its duty to secure its storage containers and damaged the property. Lloyd's of London has allegedly failed to promptly pay for business income loss and debris removal, according to the complaint. Phillips & Jordan Inc. and Crowley Liner Services are being sued by another property owner in Gulfport's west beach neighborhood. Linda Westcott contends that Phillips & Jordan, a city contractor, began bulldozing her rental property even though she had not signed a right of entry form. She is accusing Crowley of being negligent for not removing a container from Woodward Avenue in a timely manner. During cleanup efforts, the container was allegedly pushed on top of the porch at her property, according to the complaint. Silver Slipper Casino Venture is taking pre-emptive legal action by asking a federal court to exonerate or limit its liability after Katrina "caused the President Casino Broadwater to be torn from its moorings and washed ashore and caused to collide with the Biloxi Beachfront Hotel."
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Post by KNOWTHIS on Mar 26, 2006 23:11:00 GMT -5
abcnews.go.com/Technology/GlobalWarming/story?id=1765362&page=1 Is It Too Late to Stop the Warming? Scientists Talk of Possible 'Tipping Point'"I used to think part of the changes we were seeing in the Atlantic were cyclical," says Kerry Emanuel of MIT, "but several of my colleagues and I have worked very carefully on the data."A prime example: decayed vegetation in the Arctic, which contains massive amounts of carbon, used to be protected by the perpetual cold. As the climate warms — sped along by human beings burning fossil fuels that release carbon dioxide — scientists say the vegetation will dry out and break down, releasing even more carbon dioxide.
That carbon, escaping into the atmosphere, would cause more greenhouse warming.
"I feel very uncomfortable about it. I mean, it's not the way the Arctic should be," says Walter Oechel, a biologist from San Diego State University, as he stood on the tundra of Alaska's North Slope with ABC News' Bill Blakemore. "Humans are putting about 6 [billion] or 7 billion metric tons of carbon in the atmosphere a year, and we're standing on 200 billion tons here," says Oechel. "Any significant portion comes out, that's worse than current human injection into the atmosphere. And once that runaway release occurs, there would be no way to stop it."
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Post by KNOWTHIS on Mar 26, 2006 23:32:28 GMT -5
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Post by Swamp Gas on Mar 31, 2006 9:37:22 GMT -5
www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/news/archive/2006/03/30/national/w110439S37.DTLAir Warming Above AntarcticaThursday, March 30, 2006 (03-30) 17:36 PST WASHINGTON, (AP) -- The air over Antarctica is warming even faster than in other parts of the world, according to an analysis of 30 years of weather balloon data. While surface warming has been reported in parts of Antarctica, this is the first report of broad-scale climate change across the whole continent, the British Antarctic Survey says in Friday's issue of the journal Science. The weather balloon data show a warming of 0.9 degree to 1.3 degree Fahrenheit per decade over the last 30 years. By contrast, the average worldwide temperature has risen 0.2 degree per decade in that time, according to the paper. Detailed records from the weather balloons launched at nine stations around the continent, including Russian records, have only recently become available, the researchers said. The research team led by John Turner reported that they could not provide a definite cause for the warming, but added that the observed increases are what would be expected as a result of warming caused by greenhouse gases trapping heat from the sun in the atmosphere.
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Post by Swamp Gas on Apr 2, 2006 10:33:23 GMT -5
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Post by Swamp Gas on Apr 19, 2006 11:36:34 GMT -5
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Post by thinkagain on Apr 29, 2006 23:25:23 GMT -5
Life evolves.... that which manages to survive carry the instincts (tendencies toward behavior) to survive into the world that will be created. As far as nuclear waste, in particular from large nuclear explosions ... these are chain reactions, once one considers reactions as a distance it is easy to consider the possibility that all those chain reactions are not stopped, they can be occuring less frequently, i.e. at lower frequencies and greater distances. Those distant reactions can occur in our brains, randomizing our thinking processes, and making us more dependent on our emotions to guide us... which is associated with more myopic choices, which leads others to more myopia, reinforcing the spiral we are experiencing. The subtle way of moving beyond this is to avoid myopia when possible, and shifting consciousness towards more sustainable life.
Of course, this also means that those who want to experience the end times can accelerate that experience through encouraging more myopia.
To those who desire the apocalyse, i would suggest:
All fall short of the glory of God.. thus, nobody knows what God will do, nor how God has chosen for their future. So why pray to acclerate judgement when now may be your best times for all of eternity? If you will be saved (which only God knows if that will be) then wish for the well being of those who will not be, by praying the earth will survive a little longer
It seems foolish to desire that which has no upside, and only plenty of downside?
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Post by Mech on Apr 29, 2006 23:41:22 GMT -5
What I don't understand is WHY these idiots don't push FUSION reaction instead of FISSION reactions....You can't have a fusion reaction without certian elements which makes it 100% times safer minus the waste.
They say its "too expensive" but I doubt it.
just like how Pres. Carter inthe late 70's put solar panels on the White house and Ron Reagan took them down as soon as he took office.
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Post by KNOWTHIS on Apr 30, 2006 3:05:19 GMT -5
Self fulfilling prophecy is at work here. The strident belief of some that the Apocalypse is coming soon is so strong that they might actually help to manifest it when it otherwise wouldn’t have. Thought creates reality. Negative thoughts create negative realities. Why not focus on the positive and improving the present conditions on earth rather then working to speed up the process of destruction in hopes that Jesus will eventually fall out of the clouds to clean up our mess? What if he doesn’t show up? What if Rapture doesn’t sweep you away in to eternal glee? What if the Bible is just allegory, myth, fables, metaphors, symbolic stories containing basic principles not intended to be taken literally?
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Post by Swamp Gas on Apr 30, 2006 10:44:59 GMT -5
What I don't understand is WHY these idiots don't push FUSION reaction instead of FISSION reactions....You can't have a fusion reaction without certain elements which makes it 100% times safer minus the waste. They say its "too expensive" but I doubt it. just like how Pres. Carter in the late 70's put solar panels on the White house and Ron Reagan took them down as soon as he took office. It's probably because the concept of Fusion meaning "Come together" (John Lennon), while Fission is "Blowing Up" (GW Bush). There always is some allegorical connection to technologies. Interesting that we saw some Lyndon LaRouche people handing out info on some Fusion technology that had near zero waste. Fusion power could have potential if we could take the danger out of it. Solar, Wind, and Hydrogen is still the most environmental and human friendly though.
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Post by KNOWTHIS on May 2, 2006 17:40:11 GMT -5
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Post by KNOWTHIS on May 3, 2006 23:42:02 GMT -5
Bush of course not happy with the results is calling for more studies. Presumably until he gets one that he likes. www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/nation/3836693.htmlStudy finds consensus on global warmingA scientific study commissioned by the Bush administration concluded Tuesday that the lower atmosphere was indeed growing warmer and that there was "clear evidence of human influences on the climate system."
The finding eliminates a significant area of uncertainty in the debate about global warming, one that the administration has long cited as a rationale for proceeding cautiously on what it says would be costly limits on emissions of heat-trapping gases. But White House officials said that though the finding was important, the administration's policy remained focused on studying the remaining questions and using voluntary means to slow the growth in emissions of heat-trapping gases like carbon dioxide.SandstormsTibetan Glacier Melt Leading To Sandstorms In ChinaGlobal warming is melting glaciers in China's Tibetan region at a rate of 7.0 percent annually, triggering drought, desertification and sandstorms in other regions, state press reported Tuesday.
Data collected over four decades has shown that glaciers on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau, known as the "roof of the world," are shrinking at an unprecedented pace, Xinhua news agency said.
"The melting glacier will ultimately trigger more droughts, expand desertification and increase sandstorms," the report quoted Dong Guangrong, a specialist at the China Academy of Sciences, as saying.
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Post by KNOWTHIS on May 4, 2006 6:10:30 GMT -5
www.breitbart.com/news/2006/05/03/D8HCH8VO2.html Global Warming Cited in Wind Shift An important wind circulation pattern over the Pacific Ocean has begun to weaken because of global warming caused by human activity, something that could alter climate and the marine food chain in the region, new research suggests.
It's not clear what climate changes might arise in the area or possibly beyond, but the long-term effect might resemble some aspects of an El Nino event, a study author said.
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Post by KNOWTHIS on May 18, 2006 8:30:50 GMT -5
news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20060516/ap_on_re_us/warm_april_2U.S. Has Warmest April on Record Last month was the warmest April on record for the United States, offering many Americans a pleasant spring month. ADVERTISEMENT
For the 48 contiguous states the average temperature was 4.5 degrees Fahrenheit above normal for the month, the National Climatic Data Center reported Tuesday.
That made it the nation's warmest April since record keeping began in 1895.
Worldwide it was also an above-normal month, but not a record breaker, finishing as the seventh warmest April worldwide, according to the Data Center, a branch of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The warmth led to below normal home energy demand for the month, the agency added.
The warmth was particularly noted in Texas and Oklahoma which had their warmest April on record.
For New Mexico, Kansas, Arkansas, Missouri and Tennessee it was the second warmest April.
None of the 48 contiguous states was cooler than average, but it was below normal for the month in Alaska.
Drought persisted across large portions of the southern and southwestern United States, the Center said, but nationwide rainfall was near normal for the month.
And it noted there was a series of tornado outbreaks during the first half of the month affecting parts of the Midwest and central Plains as well as the Deep South.
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Post by KNOWTHIS on May 18, 2006 19:17:09 GMT -5
............
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Post by Swamp Gas on May 22, 2006 20:13:43 GMT -5
www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/news/archive/2006/05/22/national/w153413D46.DTLBush Snubs Gore Film on Global Warming By TERENCE HUNT, AP White House Correspondent Monday, May 22, 2006 (05-22) 15:34 PDT WASHINGTON, (AP) -- Is President Bush likely to see Al Gore's documentary about global warming? "Doubt it," Bush said coolly Monday. But Bush should watch it, Gore shot back. In fact, the former Democratic vice president offered to come to the White House any time, any day to show Bush either his documentary or a slide show on global warming that he's shown more than 1,000 times around the world. "The entire global scientific community has a consensus on the question that human beings are responsible for global warming and he has today again expressed personal doubt that that is true," Gore said in an Associated Press interview from France where he attended the Cannes Film Festival. Bush and Gore have had bitter disagreements about the environment and other issues. Bush defeated Gore in a disputed presidential election that was finally settled by the Supreme Court in 2000. Gore's documentary chronicles his efforts to bring greater attention to the dangers of climate change. "New technologies will change how we live and how we drive our cars, which all will have the beneficial effect of improving the environment," Bush said. "And in my judgment we need to set aside whether or not greenhouse gases have been caused by mankind or because of natural effects and focus on the technologies that will enable us to live better lives and at the same time protect the environment." Gore said the causes of global warming should not be ignored. "Why should we set aside the global scientific consensus," Gore said, his voice rising with emotion. "Is it because Exxon Mobil wants us to set it aside? Why should we set aside the conclusion of scientists in the United States, including the National Academy of Sciences, and around the world including the 11 most important national academies of science on the globe and substitute for their view the view of Exxon Mobil. Why?" "I'm a grandfather and he's a father and this should not be a political issue," Gore said. "And he should ask the National Academy of Sciences ... whether or not human beings are contributing to global warming." The White House said Bush already has acknowledged the impact of human behavior on global warming. "The president noted in 2001 the increase in temperatures over the past 100 years and that the increase in greenhouse gases was due to certain extent to human activity," said White House deputy press secretary Dana Perino. "Since then he has committed tens of billions of dollars to the science and technology programs that he initiated and we are well on our way to meeting the president's goal of reducing greenhouse intensity by 18 percent by 2012," she said. Gore's movie debuted at last winter's Sundance Film Festival and opens in U.S. theaters Wednesday.
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Post by thinkagain on May 22, 2006 22:46:47 GMT -5
I'm a little late in this dicussion, yet feel a need to add my thoughts; First - in does not make a difference what is scientifically "true" (actually there are no scientific truths, only regularities that can be quantitatively modelled with useful predictive accuracy), politicians and marketing can spin them in whatever is necessary to induce a fear response. Second - your brain and body are not totally your own, as part of a larger ecosystem (which includes the world economy) it is influenced by more than just our thoughts and ideals, in much the same way individual cells in our body are not completely self-determining. Third - Worship can mean conscious structured honoring of an important power in life, or it can mean compulsive, dellusional ritualizations. It is important to avoid having an habituated negative response to words, else that becomes how others can manipulate your emotions, thoughts and behavior Fourth - It is important to remember that lack of evidence of something occuring is not the same as evidence that it is no occuring. Human activity does effect the environment (is the environment of manhattan island the same as it was in 1400?), the question is to what extent we provoke catastrophic change - catastrophe has a negative connotiation, but its denotation is one discrete large and quick change, like punctuated equilibrium in evolution. Finally - at the core of science is the controlled experiment, that the scientist has precise control over some variables. You can not have modern science without assuming that humans effect nature. The issue is not whether we do influence nature, its how we choose to influence it. Native Americans (as far as I understand) recognized the importance of not pusing the earth too far, to keep the web of life stable enough to be able to adapt, that humans are part of that web as well. The dominant industrialized culture we live in tends to believe that only by manipulating nature (producing things) is value created and that our lives can have meaning. The problem is not that there is techonology, it is that many decision makers do not take into account the effects on the 'seventh generation' - as the world becomes more uninhabitable for humans, the more myopic humans tend to become and hence the more likely that are to make decisions to make the world more uninhabitable. Humans are expericencing at lot of self-hatred now, in much the same way that an addict who has made a mess of their lives goes through self-loathing. It tends to reinforce the compulsion for self-punishment and self-destruction. Getting out of the mess were in may require letting go of the desire to punish the 'evil doers' at whatever cost, and embracing an investment in prerseving life. A frequent motto I see is, "no aid to the enemy, no way'.... what if the only way to avoid our extinction is to not force our enemy to kill us first? Maybe we need to stop seeing nature as our enemy, as something to be subdued and disempowered ... sometimes we do need to be reminded that our lives and our experiences are an outgrowth of the natural world. For some that can take on a form of nature worship. If global warming is not a product of human intervention, it may yet be accelerated by our behavior. If in fact we have no influence over it, it makes in more a crisis since we would have no idea how to influence its outcome. ok,,, enough of my rants Are you LISTENING JEANIE? Man-made global warming is a HOAX to get the people UNDER CONTROL....PERIOD!!!! UC Physics Professor Says Global Warming Not Real
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Post by KNOWTHIS on Jun 20, 2006 19:01:27 GMT -5
www.newwest.net/index.php/city/comment/9136/C396/L396 Climate Change Hits The American West No longer dismissed as an invention of Chicken Littles, climate change is upon us and Americans are addressing it head on. Consider this possible view of the West in the year 2056.
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Post by KNOWTHIS on Jun 20, 2006 19:02:05 GMT -5
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Post by KNOWTHIS on Jun 20, 2006 19:06:32 GMT -5
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Post by KNOWTHIS on Jun 20, 2006 19:12:31 GMT -5
In the future, climatologists see most areas of the West becoming hotter, drier, smokier. In 50 years, portions of the high plains could experience summers kindred to those currently experienced in Las Vegas. Forests, too, will burn and likely not be replaced with the usual complement of sub-alpine species. East of the Rockies, for every rise in temperature Celsius, experts say that agriculture will need a 25 percent increase in moisture. Photo by Todd Wilkinson. Low water years in reservoirs across the West could become the norm, not the anomaly. If true, it will not bode well for millions living in thirsty desert cities downstream. One expert from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention predicts that armed conflicts and climate-related refugees could erupt from battles over water. Photo by Todd Wilkinson. As sea levels rise from melting glaciers and ice caps, millions living along low-lying coastal areas will be forced to flee inland, abandoning their former way of life. Civilization as we know it is going to change, Lisa Graumlich says. Photo by Todd Wilkinson. In 2056, elements of national parks like Yellowstone will still exist but John Varley, the park's former chief scientist, says that humankind's way of relating to the natural world could be dramatically altered and with it, the focus of global conservation and what we call today "tourism." Photo by Todd Wilkinson.Stunning mountain ranges like the Snowcrest peaks along the Continental Divide in western Montana may cease to have snowpacks which could have severe consequences for agriculture, tourism, the survival of wildlife, and ultimately, the amount water that reaches the tap. Photo by Todd Wilkinson.
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Post by Swamp Gas on Jun 21, 2006 8:53:23 GMT -5
www.commondreams.org/views06/0604-22.htmWelcome to the Climate Crisis[/size][/b] Elected officials can no longer avoid talking about global warming — but how many of them grasp the urgent need for action? Here's how to tell the difference between those who 'get it' and those who don'tby Bill McKibben For those who have been working for decades to raise awareness about climate change, this is a moment charged with opportunity — and with peril. A series of events — beginning with Hurricane Katrina and continuing through the release of Al Gore's new movie — has finally pushed the issue near the forefront of the public agenda. It doesn't yet rank quite up there with the war on terrorism or the high price of gasoline, but it's clear that the next bad storm season or prolonged drought will seal the deal; even as things stand now, there's no chance that it will simply be ignored in the next presidential campaign, not with evangelical leaders and Greenpeace activists taking turns pressing the question. But here's the danger: Twenty years of inaction, and especially the Bush administration's stupendous record of ignorance and neglect, have set the bar so low that any legislation at all may look like real progress. The utilities, the coal companies and Detroit may find themselves able to easily set the terms of any deal that will, in turn, set policy for the next 20 years — and if it's a deal that's too modest in attempting to rein in carbon emissions, then it may be worse than no deal at all. Precisely because we've wasted the past two decades, we need real, not token, action now. So here's how to tell if your politicians really get global warming: • Is it just one more issue on their list of topics, somewhere between trade policy and failing schools — or do they understand it for what it really is: the first civilization-scale challenge that humans have yet faced? Newly emerging science (including some that the Bush administration tried to force NASA climatologist James Hansen to suppress) shows that we have underestimated the scale and urgency of the crisis. Everything frozen on Earth is melting fast, for instance, threatening to produce an inhospitable planet in the decades ahead and an unbearable one in the lifetime of those being born. Political rhetoric needs to reflect the stark fact that this is an emergency. • Do their proposals come with big numbers — 50 percent reductions in carbon emissions, say? They don't need to achieve those numbers overnight (the various European countries aim for them in the 2030-2050 range), but real reductions, as opposed to slower growth rates of emissions, need to begin within the next few years, according to the most recent science. This implies Defense Department-scale budgets for technology development and for implementation of those technologies we already know how to use — wind turbines, say. • Do they avoid a fixation with any one technology? The idea that nuclear or "clean coal" or, for that matter, wind, will by itself solve our energy gap is nonsense, and it usually masks an ideological argument from one side or the other. There are no silver bullets, only silver buckshot. Given the scale of the problem, the cheapest solutions (beginning with reducing the massive energy waste in our system) make the most sense. This implies a large role for markets — but only once government policy has made the cost of fossil fuels truly reflect the damage they do. • Do they understand that technological change alone cannot achieve the 70 percent reductions in fossil fuel use needed to stabilize climate? We'll also need real shifts in attitude, behavior and habit. These changes are possible (the average Western European uses half as much energy as the average American while leading a quality life), but they will take real political leadership on issues ranging from mass transit to sprawl to the size of cars. • Do they avoid the temptation to scapegoat China and the rest of the developing world? This has been the safety hatch for politicians who wanted to avoid even baby steps such as the Kyoto treaty: They piously insist that the Chinese cut their carbon emissions alongside ours. But this makes no moral sense: The Chinese, who use an eighth as much energy per capita, are only beginning to burn fossil fuel in large quantities, and they're using it to pull people out of poverty, not indulge their taste for Lincoln Navigators. And it's politically hopeless: The Chinese, and the rest of the world, simply will not accept the idea that the atmosphere belonged to us, we filled it with carbon, and now they need to find a new strategy for development. Our only hope — and the only just solution — is a massive transfer of technology and resources to the global south so that those countries can develop differently. There are schemes that would make all these items possible, even affordable: big taxes on fossil fuel rebated to citizens to reward lower energy use; small taxes on currency speculation to underwrite the cost of building windmills in China; a switch of subsidies from fossil fuel to future fuel. It's not ideas we're lacking; it's a prevailing sense of the mortal danger that we've wandered into, a danger that demands leadership willing to set the bar high. Bill McKibben, a scholar-in-residence at Middlebury College, is the author of "The End of Nature," a book about global warming.
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Post by Swamp Gas on Jun 22, 2006 12:25:47 GMT -5
news.yahoo.com/s/ap/global_warming;_ylt=Av2PHd6wuyEavpKhfHTDiWNrAlMA;_ylu=X3oDMTBiMW04NW9mBHNlYwMlJVRPUCUlStudy says Earth's temp at 400-year high[/b] By JOHN HEILPRIN, Associated Press Writer 44 minutes ago WASHINGTON - The Earth is the hottest it has been in at least 400 years, probably even longer. The National Academy of Sciences, reaching that conclusion in a broad review of scientific work requested by Congress, reported Thursday that the "recent warmth is unprecedented for at least the last 400 years and potentially the last several millennia." A panel of top climate scientists told lawmakers that the Earth is heating up and that "human activities are responsible for much of the recent warming." Their 155-page report said average global surface temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere rose about 1 degree during the 20th century. This is shown in boreholes, retreating glaciers and other evidence found in nature, said Gerald North, a geosciences professor at Texas A&M University who chaired the academy's panel. The report was requested in November by the chairman of the House Science Committee, Rep. Sherwood Boehlert (news, bio, voting record), R-N.Y., to address naysayers who question whether global warming is a major threat. Last year, when the House Energy and Commerce Committee chairman, Rep. Joe Barton (news, bio, voting record), R-Texas, launched an investigation of three climate scientists, Boehlert said Barton should try to learn from scientists, not intimidate them. Boehlert said Thursday the report shows the value of having scientists advise Congress. "There is nothing in this report that should raise any doubts about the broad scientific consensus on global climate change," he said. Other new research Thursday showed that global warming produced about half of the extra hurricane-fueled warmth in the North Atlantic in 2005, and natural cycles were a minor factor, according to Kevin Trenberth and Dennis Shea of the Commerce Department's National Center for Atmospheric Research. Their study is being published by the American Geophysical Union. The Bush administration has maintained that the threat is not severe enough to warrant new pollution controls that the White House says would have cost 5 million Americans their jobs. Climate scientists Michael Mann, Raymond Bradley and Malcolm Hughes had concluded the Northern Hemisphere was the warmest it has been in 2,000 years. Their research was known as the "hockey-stick" graphic because it compared the sharp curve of the hockey blade to the recent uptick in temperatures and the stick's long shaft to centuries of previous climate stability. The National Academy scientists concluded that the Mann-Bradley-Hughes research from the late 1990s was "likely" to be true, said John "Mike" Wallace, an atmospheric sciences professor at the University of Washington and a panel member. The conclusions from the '90s research "are very close to being right" and are supported by even more recent data, Wallace said. The panel looked at how other scientists reconstructed the Earth's temperatures going back thousands of years, before there was data from modern scientific instruments. For all but the most recent 150 years, the academy scientists relied on "proxy" evidence from tree rings, corals, glaciers and ice cores, cave deposits, ocean and lake sediments, boreholes and other sources. They also examined indirect records such as paintings of glaciers in the Alps. Combining that information gave the panel "a high level of confidence that the last few decades of the 20th century were warmer than any comparable period in the last 400 years," the academy said. Overall, the panel agreed that the warming in the last few decades of the 20th century was unprecedented over the last 1,000 years, though relatively warm conditions persisted around the year 1000, followed by a "Little Ice Age" from about 1500 to 1850. The scientists said they had less confidence in the evidence of temperatures before 1600. But they considered it reliable enough to conclude there were sharp spikes in carbon dioxide and methane, the two major "greenhouse" gases blamed for trapping heat in the atmosphere, beginning in the 20th century, after remaining fairly level for 12,000 years. Between 1 A.D. and 1850, volcanic eruptions and solar fluctuations were the main causes of changes in greenhouse gas levels. But those temperature changes "were much less pronounced than the warming due to greenhouse gas" levels by pollution since the mid-19th century, it said. The National Academy of Sciences is a private organization chartered by Congress to advise the government of scientific matters. ___ HEATING UP: The Earth is the hottest it has been in at least 400, maybe more. SCIENTISTS AGREE: The National Academy of Sciences studied tree rings, corals and other natural formations, in part, to conclude that the heat is unprecedented for potentially the last several millennia. HUMAN FAULT: Human activities are responsible for much of the recent warming, the Academy says.
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